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Forth Replacement Crossing DMRB Stage 3 Scheme Assessment Report Part 2: Engineering, Traffic and Economic Assessment

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Publication Date: 
04/12/2009
Publication Summary: 
Engineering description and assessment of the Forth Replacement Crossing scheme.

Published: November 2009

ISBN 978 1 906006 81 5

This document is also available in pdf format (836k)

Contents

Glossary
Abbreviations
Introduction

THE SCHEME

1 Scheme Background
1.1 Forth Replacement Crossing / Strategic Transport Projects Review
1.2 Previous Studies and Reports
1.3 Scheme Objectives
1.4 Sustainable Development Policy
1.5 DMRB Stage 3 Scheme Assessment Report Methodology
1.6 Do-Minimum Definition

2 Existing Conditions
2.1 Forth Road Bridge
2.2 Existing Road Network
2.3 Land Based Structures
2.4 Existing Traffic Patterns
2.5 Impacts due to Incidents and Maintenance

3 Description of the Scheme
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Scheme Length and Cross Section Details
3.3 Main Crossing and the Forth Road Bridge
3.4 Road Infrastructure
3.5 Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS)
3.6 Cost Estimate
3.7 Route Refinement History

ENGINEERING ASSESSMENT

4 Engineering Assessment
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Design Standards
4.3 Departures from Standard
4.4 Topography and Land Use
4.5 Roads Infrastructure - Ground Conditions, Geology and Geomorphology
4.6 Main Crossing Geotechnical Summary
4.7 Drainage, Hydrology and Hydrogeology
4.8 Land Based Structures
4.9 Fencing and Environmental Barriers
4.10 Traffic Signs and Lighting
4.11 Road Restraint Systems
4.12 Public Utilities
4.13 Design Development
4.14 Proposed Construction Sequence

TRAFFIC AND ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT

5 Modelling and Forecasting
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Transport Model for Scotland
5.3 TMfS:05A Representation of Baseline Conditions
5.4 Population and Employment Forecasting
5.5 Growth between 2005 and 2017
5.6 Growth between 2017 and 2032
5.7 Future Year Trip Matrices
5.8 Do-Minimum Definition
5.9 Unrestricted normal operation Do-Minimum Forecasts
5.10 Restricted operation Do-Minimum Forecasts
5.11 Local Operational Model

6 Operational Effects of the Managed Crossing Scheme
6.1 Introduction
6.2 Key benefits
6.3 Review of Strategic Traffic Forecasts
6.4 Review of Local Traffic Forecasts
6.5 Improved Local Access
6.6 Measures to Encourage Public Transport
6.7 CO2 Emissions
6.8 Intelligent Transport Systems (ITS)
6.9 Safety and Incident Management

7 Economic Performance of the scheme
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Method of Appraisal
7.3 Scheme Specific Data
7.4 Removal of Model "Noise"
7.5 Basic Transport Economic Efficiency benefits of the Scheme
7.6 Benefits to be derived by avoiding the impact of Main Cable Replacement on the Forth
7.7 Accident benefits
7.8 Basic scheme costs
7.9 Summary of basic benefits and costs
7.10 Construction impact
7.11 Whole life maintenance impact
7.12 Additional benefits
7.13 Additional ITS benefits
7.14 Summary of additional WEB benefits
7.15 Summary of all benefits
7.16 Conclusions

APPENDICES

APPENDIX A – THE SCHEME

Figure 1.1 : The Managed Crossing Scheme
Figure 2.1 : Existing Road Network – Northern Study Area
Figure 2.2 : Existing Road Network – Southern Study Area
Figure 2.3 : Base 2005 AADT & % HGV data
Figure 2.4 : 2005 Base Traffic Destinations Southbound
Figure 3.1 : Typical Cross Sections – Mainline Carriageway
Figure 3.2 : Typical Cross Sections – Side Roads
Figure 3.3 : Indicative Main Crossing Details
Figure 3.4 : Forth Road Bridge – Public Transport Crossing Configurations
Figure 3.5 : M9 Junction 1a – Plan and Long section – Sheet 1 of 3
Figure 3.6 : M9 Junction 1a – Plan and Long section – Sheet 2 of 3
Figure 3.7 : M9 Junction 1a – Plan and Long section – Sheet 3 of 3
Figure 3.8 : Queensferry – Plan and Long section – Sheet 1 of 4
Figure 3.9 : Queensferry – Plan and Long section – Sheet 2 of 4
Figure 3.10 : Queensferry – Plan and Long section – Sheet 3 of 4
Figure 3.11 : Queensferry – Plan and Long section – Sheet 4 of 4
Figure 3.12 : North of the Firth of Forth – Plan and Long section – Sheet 1 of 4
Figure 3.13 : North of the Firth of Forth – Plan and Long section – Sheet 2 of 4
Figure 3.14 : North of the Firth of Forth – Plan and Long section – Sheet 3 of 4
Figure 3.15 : North of the Firth of Forth – Plan and Long section – Sheet 4 of 4
Figure 3.16 : North of the Firth of Forth – Pedestrian and Cyclist Facilities
Figure 3.17 : South of the Firth of Forth – Pedestrian and Cyclist Facilities

APPENDIX B – COST ESTIMATE

APPENDIX C – ENGINEERING ASSESSMENT

Figure 4.1 : North of the Firth of Forth – Earthworks Reference Plan – Sheet 1 of 2
Figure 4.2 : North of the Firth of Forth – Earthworks Reference Plan – Sheet 2 of 2
Figure 4.3 : South of the Firth of Forth – Earthworks Reference Plan
Figure 4.4 : North of the Firth of Forth – Structures Location Plan
Figure 4.5 : South of the Firth of Forth – Structures Location Plan

APPENDIX D – TRAFFIC ASSESSMENT

Figure 5.1 : 2005 – 2017 Population data
Figure 5.2 : 2005 – 2017 Households data
Figure 5.3 : 2005 – 2017 Employment data
Figure 5.4 : 2017 – 2027 Population data
Figure 5.5 : 2017 -2027 Households data
Figure 5.6 : 2017 – 2027 Employment data
Figure 5.7 : Annual Average Daily Traffic Levels & % HGV, Do-Min Year 2017
Figure 5.8 : Annual Average Daily Traffic Levels & % HGV, Do-Min Year 2032
Figure 5.9 : Annual Average Daily Traffic Levels & % HGV, Restricted Do-Min Year 2017
Figure 5.10 : Extent of Paramics Model Network
Figure 6.1 : Annual Average Daily Traffic Levels & % HGV, Managed Crossing Year 2017
Figure 6.2 : Annual Average Daily Traffic Levels & % HGV, Managed Crossing Year 2032

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This report has been prepared for the exclusive use of the commissioning party and unless otherwise agreed in writing by Jacobs Arup, no other party may use, make use of or rely on the contents of this report. No liability is accepted by Jacobs Arup for any use of this report, other than for the purposes for which it was originally prepared and provided.

Opinions and information provided in the report are on the basis of Jacobs Arup using due skill, care and diligence in the preparation of the same and no warranty is provided as to their accuracy.

It should be noted and it is expressly stated that no independent verification of any of the documents of information supplied to Jacobs Arup has been made.

Jacobs Arup - Jacobs U.K. Limited and Ove Arup & Partners International Limited Consortium
Jacobs U.K. Limited, Registered Office: 95 Bothwell Street, Glasgow G2 7HX, Scotland. Registered in Scotland Number 141100
Ove Arup & Partners International Limited, Registered Office: 13 Fitzroy Street, London W1T 4BQ. Company No. 00952468

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